Das 1,5° C-Ziel ist nicht mehr erreichbar - Lasst uns das < 2°C-Ziel anstreben!
Klimamodell-Rechnungen des IPCC Berichtes (AR6)
Die SSPs (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) sind Szenarien, die im Rahmen des Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) entwickelt wurden, um mögliche Entwicklungswege der Weltwirtschaft und Gesellschaft darzustellen.
Diese Szenarien dienen als Grundlage für klimabezogene Forschung und Modellierung.
Die SSPs unterscheiden sich in erster Linie durch ihre Annahmen über sozioökonomische Entwicklungen, Technologien, Energieverbrauch und Umweltpolitik.
Die wichtigsten Unterschiede zwischen den SSPs:
SSP5 🔥 Fossilbasierte Entwicklung:
Dieses Szenario geht von einer Welt aus, in der wirtschaftliche Entwicklung und Energieverbrauch stark auf fossilen Brennstoffen basieren. Es repräsentiert eine Zukunft mit hohen Treibhausgasemissionen.
SSP4 🔥 Ungleichheit:
SSP4 beschreibt eine Welt mit starken sozialen Unterschieden und geringer internationaler Kooperation. Es basiert auf hohen Bevölkerungszuwachsraten und begrenzten Bemühungen, soziale Ungleichheiten zu verringern.
SSP3 🔥 Fragmentierte Entwicklung:
Dieses Szenario geht von einer Welt aus, in der nationale Interessen Vorrang haben. Es resultiert in regionalen Unterschieden, höheren Konflikten und ungleich verteilten Ressourcen.
SSP2 🧡 Fortgesetzte Entwicklung:
SSP2 repräsentiert eine Fortsetzung der gegenwärtigen wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Trends. Es geht von moderaten Veränderungen aus und sieht eine weltweite, ausgeglichene Entwicklung vor.
SSP1 💚 Nachhaltige Entwicklung:
Dieses Szenario geht von einer nachhaltigen und umweltfreundlichen Entwicklung aus. Es basiert auf effizienten Ressourcennutzungen, niedrigen Bevölkerungswachstumsraten und einer verstärkten internationalen Zusammenarbeit.
SSP5_8_5:
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
2065
2075
2085
2095
| 2015.000000000000 | 1.020884849950959 | 1.110087613353907 | 1.214464775698898 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.000000000000 | 1.040534548654836 | 1.136829794637295 | 1.251050039560256 |
| 2017.000000000000 | 1.060932976617174 | 1.166138801213176 | 1.289023334803417 |
| 2018.000000000000 | 1.079272099583805 | 1.195275185134895 | 1.329558641712629 |
| 2019.000000000000 | 1.099178782123515 | 1.223857843560775 | 1.373857310713072 |
| 2020.000000000000 | 1.120566689073966 | 1.253726950259474 | 1.415059583469086 |
| 2021.000000000000 | 1.142972411518240 | 1.283470131803174 | 1.456781771068220 |
| 2022.000000000000 | 1.165054366235245 | 1.315981986131451 | 1.501338114484208 |
| 2023.000000000000 | 1.186427868710072 | 1.346799973679663 | 1.538984084630744 |
| 2024.000000000000 | 1.205258006688249 | 1.376803341508790 | 1.581494072767053 |
| 2025.000000000000 | 1.224146437072668 | 1.409638531171410 | 1.626236507810627 |
| 2026.000000000000 | 1.247006610528411 | 1.441877805869133 | 1.667999994054060 |
| 2027.000000000000 | 1.271120574034329 | 1.475212513921877 | 1.711516606771606 |
| 2028.000000000000 | 1.294156065911475 | 1.509049321150155 | 1.756477730936045 |
| 2029.000000000000 | 1.318304949679756 | 1.543635753919159 | 1.798085457520598 |
| 2030.000000000000 | 1.340855324913612 | 1.576928656447998 | 1.841457708591788 |
| 2031.000000000000 | 1.364782524798977 | 1.610439137583660 | 1.886850130282815 |
| 2032.000000000000 | 1.390625815428395 | 1.644262337545705 | 1.932285067593028 |
| 2033.000000000000 | 1.410746028102656 | 1.677874345077882 | 1.978728279152709 |
| 2034.000000000000 | 1.434906732710465 | 1.712720129290541 | 2.024747366122618 |
| 2035.000000000000 | 1.458803203038781 | 1.747634769551231 | 2.071520093234028 |
| 2036.000000000000 | 1.483370971007377 | 1.783015570716804 | 2.117948977435835 |
| 2037.000000000000 | 1.509067961932949 | 1.817785200122533 | 2.162790838643331 |
| 2038.000000000000 | 1.536156714422398 | 1.853785112254635 | 2.211017365840531 |
| 2039.000000000000 | 1.563592434096558 | 1.892334384814826 | 2.260369028095963 |
| 2040.000000000000 | 1.591664262745650 | 1.932941125341882 | 2.312494525338334 |
| 2041.000000000000 | 1.620760393021456 | 1.973450266159391 | 2.365856631971749 |
| 2042.000000000000 | 1.648541062751830 | 2.011311166707666 | 2.416993986468267 |
| 2043.000000000000 | 1.677784592349830 | 2.052008843259084 | 2.471009801609257 |
| 2044.000000000000 | 1.707986856100538 | 2.094221047221340 | 2.527432897189275 |
| 2045.000000000000 | 1.738701628011867 | 2.135517351120816 | 2.582179874999448 |
| 2046.000000000000 | 1.768256093936051 | 2.177517119040265 | 2.638026939004575 |
| 2047.000000000000 | 1.798193459883535 | 2.219344350420734 | 2.694732947832076 |
| 2048.000000000000 | 1.832998454535749 | 2.260737596082856 | 2.750675288025960 |
| 2049.000000000000 | 1.865793893039676 | 2.304063947617047 | 2.812369456745166 |
| 2050.000000000000 | 1.899725504555486 | 2.348434422882916 | 2.870155476464876 |
| 2051.000000000000 | 1.933048068694701 | 2.392893215078979 | 2.928542183251817 |
| 2052.000000000000 | 1.965051157644961 | 2.438887476388864 | 2.987667092535775 |
| 2053.000000000000 | 1.999754676811795 | 2.486342319342658 | 3.047965993742485 |
| 2054.000000000000 | 2.033064849700935 | 2.531059711338016 | 3.108461599356922 |
| 2055.000000000000 | 2.065260830356760 | 2.573277659213287 | 3.168048725848551 |
| 2056.000000000000 | 2.099080157861643 | 2.619445981769690 | 3.228513671056879 |
| 2057.000000000000 | 2.131211509309864 | 2.668121188266821 | 3.291170377850556 |
| 2058.000000000000 | 2.164340102526420 | 2.712618401109610 | 3.352780300818204 |
| 2059.000000000000 | 2.195716360296790 | 2.757157671234223 | 3.414799933377497 |
| 2060.000000000000 | 2.228158124833920 | 2.796679822656410 | 3.478178363578709 |
| 2061.000000000000 | 2.262279420327623 | 2.844935016143699 | 3.543039510719198 |
| 2062.000000000000 | 2.297131054199463 | 2.893293154377136 | 3.609132134921337 |
| 2063.000000000000 | 2.319130702963288 | 2.942002221133615 | 3.674559273096611 |
| 2064.000000000000 | 2.352932824268902 | 2.989032509214328 | 3.739416082404500 |
| 2065.000000000000 | 2.385391020857428 | 3.036282075382834 | 3.816983113297242 |
| 2066.000000000000 | 2.415014936354165 | 3.086115740164978 | 3.882104829928480 |
| 2067.000000000000 | 2.448551765104575 | 3.134536202413299 | 3.945988338543064 |
| 2068.000000000000 | 2.483099379594151 | 3.180648269569992 | 4.010491261629053 |
| 2069.000000000000 | 2.516484988351258 | 3.229456906194137 | 4.076478093544350 |
| 2070.000000000000 | 2.549009182961678 | 3.279564756400432 | 4.144222375255462 |
| 2071.000000000000 | 2.582351789032262 | 3.329393298298770 | 4.213888527915627 |
| 2072.000000000000 | 2.615776651182194 | 3.376201433936301 | 4.282297223745289 |
| 2073.000000000000 | 2.651925743801677 | 3.426389032795217 | 4.352691630971000 |
| 2074.000000000000 | 2.687713186662157 | 3.478239947790698 | 4.421785408307782 |
| 2075.000000000000 | 2.726767993712308 | 3.528473272940276 | 4.494372530898644 |
| 2076.000000000000 | 2.763976098518172 | 3.578517490985476 | 4.567477860001718 |
| 2077.000000000000 | 2.799776056361188 | 3.629565710474537 | 4.639567984061869 |
| 2078.000000000000 | 2.835702712026208 | 3.679307266972911 | 4.712642366811611 |
| 2079.000000000000 | 2.870909367218017 | 3.733668901770504 | 4.785354929785795 |
| 2080.000000000000 | 2.903927306526922 | 3.784346387431405 | 4.857812326077518 |
| 2081.000000000000 | 2.937935092390797 | 3.833343570755811 | 4.927053896848943 |
| 2082.000000000000 | 2.972805508192564 | 3.885569436497780 | 5.000795069974846 |
| 2083.000000000000 | 3.007826203813831 | 3.939075944367934 | 5.073203960908221 |
| 2084.000000000000 | 3.043163662024991 | 3.990479073200595 | 5.147714959725535 |
| 2085.000000000000 | 3.078831637937154 | 4.042170397267873 | 5.221882323931991 |
| 2086.000000000000 | 3.115181913533082 | 4.093118878262187 | 5.296121507717337 |
| 2087.000000000000 | 3.151821983825297 | 4.145186055205340 | 5.371190230845812 |
| 2088.000000000000 | 3.185777587785457 | 4.197856046160946 | 5.446818681046169 |
| 2089.000000000000 | 3.222939556585104 | 4.249289921253813 | 5.520999107520806 |
| 2090.000000000000 | 3.259087689096549 | 4.300077477289500 | 5.596166370162877 |
| 2091.000000000000 | 3.292139074594131 | 4.350626709696547 | 5.667334775848253 |
| 2092.000000000000 | 3.327391451671967 | 4.401697899327528 | 5.739795115347174 |
| 2093.000000000000 | 3.362112585893657 | 4.450658071365051 | 5.810965953674563 |
| 2094.000000000000 | 3.395673853456081 | 4.499150570453712 | 5.880717569715501 |
| 2095.000000000000 | 3.429177569183314 | 4.548681042496099 | 5.950025008271011 |
| 2096.000000000000 | 3.462596210431378 | 4.596716454786020 | 6.018712149663867 |
| 2097.000000000000 | 3.494457516620106 | 4.644480697930438 | 6.086626108491198 |
| 2098.000000000000 | 3.526017901766119 | 4.689657501816721 | 6.153901048899045 |
| 2099.000000000000 | 3.556015743161273 | 4.734679404550608 | 6.219620641943965 |
SSP3_7_0:
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
2065
2075
2085
2095
| 2015.000000000000 | 1.004819770795513 | 1.094355371707038 | 1.191356909327664 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.000000000000 | 1.020225948862539 | 1.117928984178943 | 1.223910537512729 |
| 2017.000000000000 | 1.037919257276923 | 1.143450954299930 | 1.257961741887633 |
| 2018.000000000000 | 1.055630760218604 | 1.169831476767321 | 1.293765534093176 |
| 2019.000000000000 | 1.072718511267478 | 1.194815689259759 | 1.333080908825384 |
| 2020.000000000000 | 1.091036930738058 | 1.220170946525605 | 1.370755150499996 |
| 2021.000000000000 | 1.109033940425360 | 1.246637159458847 | 1.406841456187012 |
| 2022.000000000000 | 1.125932763916097 | 1.272722974614036 | 1.442604037282837 |
| 2023.000000000000 | 1.143262484378585 | 1.298628834710558 | 1.473310668795081 |
| 2024.000000000000 | 1.160836265680661 | 1.323940761743512 | 1.514017394332670 |
| 2025.000000000000 | 1.178657790469369 | 1.349195875714134 | 1.549546990530077 |
| 2026.000000000000 | 1.197034988864125 | 1.375721085836694 | 1.585632059465587 |
| 2027.000000000000 | 1.215712848447609 | 1.403254349976567 | 1.622117376492940 |
| 2028.000000000000 | 1.235792308145979 | 1.432134838609275 | 1.655038044920400 |
| 2029.000000000000 | 1.255146496187015 | 1.460234515150054 | 1.692432561648252 |
| 2030.000000000000 | 1.275278833145089 | 1.488259292215729 | 1.730267693907512 |
| 2031.000000000000 | 1.295744599205414 | 1.517410639354210 | 1.768977615670483 |
| 2032.000000000000 | 1.316980207957595 | 1.546276025285596 | 1.807687353641295 |
| 2033.000000000000 | 1.336947039888533 | 1.574460239623207 | 1.847415638136963 |
| 2034.000000000000 | 1.359466229763200 | 1.601990581839867 | 1.886146522038763 |
| 2035.000000000000 | 1.381661204023772 | 1.629818762297442 | 1.924070301588838 |
| 2036.000000000000 | 1.403978168746543 | 1.659600945116512 | 1.967068668973933 |
| 2037.000000000000 | 1.426399278753085 | 1.690527409447634 | 2.006207026940428 |
| 2038.000000000000 | 1.446730797623922 | 1.720359927597269 | 2.046633260431213 |
| 2039.000000000000 | 1.470006730247978 | 1.749494160137460 | 2.086582468441344 |
| 2040.000000000000 | 1.497057271705476 | 1.781320366347479 | 2.128589055286525 |
| 2041.000000000000 | 1.522525370547796 | 1.815078355209781 | 2.166976675050206 |
| 2042.000000000000 | 1.547611927652392 | 1.847174852153686 | 2.214677385919436 |
| 2043.000000000000 | 1.571469403785060 | 1.876230381836789 | 2.256587779837925 |
| 2044.000000000000 | 1.595442963947487 | 1.907567188666911 | 2.299763869887964 |
| 2045.000000000000 | 1.619481419050125 | 1.940398883979673 | 2.343254961677100 |
| 2046.000000000000 | 1.644293209809687 | 1.973963076678114 | 2.386487628777335 |
| 2047.000000000000 | 1.669187416101723 | 2.006339542365465 | 2.429366418990997 |
| 2048.000000000000 | 1.692866399262988 | 2.037212553348312 | 2.470722476315645 |
| 2049.000000000000 | 1.717817481824106 | 2.066088304989041 | 2.513280735092999 |
| 2050.000000000000 | 1.741237338665582 | 2.100658251917069 | 2.558017478858506 |
| 2051.000000000000 | 1.766395100576653 | 2.133239501990834 | 2.599704479263395 |
| 2052.000000000000 | 1.791891347211797 | 2.166502307686905 | 2.643467119515468 |
| 2053.000000000000 | 1.818807570092849 | 2.200312819452086 | 2.687983500661307 |
| 2054.000000000000 | 1.841548792347788 | 2.234904157895377 | 2.732865773670462 |
| 2055.000000000000 | 1.864379410344561 | 2.268249558278060 | 2.781599759102049 |
| 2056.000000000000 | 1.890380396065037 | 2.300380699736910 | 2.827362135357538 |
| 2057.000000000000 | 1.917329206136522 | 2.333724096415747 | 2.872319337412776 |
| 2058.000000000000 | 1.943529933304807 | 2.368426761430688 | 2.917282494966078 |
| 2059.000000000000 | 1.967684458591550 | 2.403768093186974 | 2.963919836919363 |
| 2060.000000000000 | 1.991583338776086 | 2.438560718585168 | 3.009826119615078 |
| 2061.000000000000 | 2.017031072289246 | 2.473101372129817 | 3.056240383497430 |
| 2062.000000000000 | 2.039082805036208 | 2.510043872449884 | 3.104100940557562 |
| 2063.000000000000 | 2.065378282077321 | 2.546709029236752 | 3.152418653543260 |
| 2064.000000000000 | 2.091989670442585 | 2.584087019872368 | 3.198879473247207 |
| 2065.000000000000 | 2.117522441911708 | 2.621832669942718 | 3.248458547764350 |
| 2066.000000000000 | 2.141511749361384 | 2.658745783921758 | 3.297572649774224 |
| 2067.000000000000 | 2.167577405493132 | 2.695752566231816 | 3.346323494372681 |
| 2068.000000000000 | 2.192251362475239 | 2.729997830654546 | 3.395707389345838 |
| 2069.000000000000 | 2.220263205402388 | 2.764676094535205 | 3.444902872308395 |
| 2070.000000000000 | 2.245425751454396 | 2.799205476473919 | 3.493878921453836 |
| 2071.000000000000 | 2.272365181894036 | 2.837206249175318 | 3.543115348828445 |
| 2072.000000000000 | 2.300354272016258 | 2.875600342069001 | 3.592440615436652 |
| 2073.000000000000 | 2.327844686603809 | 2.912321572531544 | 3.642674969130392 |
| 2074.000000000000 | 2.357693646417378 | 2.950057145634794 | 3.692318713872721 |
| 2075.000000000000 | 2.387656518565173 | 2.987484986588048 | 3.743753445468802 |
| 2076.000000000000 | 2.416924635885478 | 3.028042487300728 | 3.795487203750297 |
| 2077.000000000000 | 2.441958591641912 | 3.065965236790399 | 3.847690731937435 |
| 2078.000000000000 | 2.469616896904877 | 3.102424882917156 | 3.898899249722946 |
| 2079.000000000000 | 2.499193851587828 | 3.140936603997937 | 3.950080480345767 |
| 2080.000000000000 | 2.528447436634679 | 3.181039699382553 | 4.001346384847652 |
| 2081.000000000000 | 2.555687922642162 | 3.218318401369723 | 4.053526173376081 |
| 2082.000000000000 | 2.583027883172119 | 3.254365012125843 | 4.103912571386135 |
| 2083.000000000000 | 2.611602736284300 | 3.293176549747868 | 4.157411058114665 |
| 2084.000000000000 | 2.640273430007139 | 3.332336794073793 | 4.213172010643015 |
| 2085.000000000000 | 2.668919218810240 | 3.371378585299003 | 4.268736129284125 |
| 2086.000000000000 | 2.696717781777844 | 3.409118710015789 | 4.323224653291321 |
| 2087.000000000000 | 2.727168131089374 | 3.448358067371647 | 4.377564293286152 |
| 2088.000000000000 | 2.760144965854772 | 3.489697213715231 | 4.432394144437368 |
| 2089.000000000000 | 2.789997851651318 | 3.529516524164657 | 4.484233766019299 |
| 2090.000000000000 | 2.820434412846658 | 3.567628710869407 | 4.541136017031783 |
| 2091.000000000000 | 2.847464528518826 | 3.606357659347934 | 4.595606189182653 |
| 2092.000000000000 | 2.876382374570796 | 3.645376136567721 | 4.649576731316001 |
| 2093.000000000000 | 2.904347472582606 | 3.684243772852491 | 4.704165499003323 |
| 2094.000000000000 | 2.932247133822956 | 3.721228859283594 | 4.758397786913460 |
| 2095.000000000000 | 2.959684718253254 | 3.758451683215963 | 4.812137963545464 |
| 2096.000000000000 | 2.986875181628693 | 3.796472137029357 | 4.867172565307548 |
| 2097.000000000000 | 3.014037051279763 | 3.835123649069157 | 4.922075236292883 |
| 2098.000000000000 | 3.040392359924741 | 3.872383480378294 | 4.975588315713626 |
| 2099.000000000000 | 3.066456893205954 | 3.908723065473456 | 5.027862931214472 |
SSP2_4_5:
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
2065
2075
2085
2095
| 2015.000000000000 | 1.011144608189148 | 1.103229250277399 | 1.194781866470071 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.000000000000 | 1.029887849284629 | 1.126901763726403 | 1.229157003732183 |
| 2017.000000000000 | 1.047697989419192 | 1.151919167334748 | 1.264237823310561 |
| 2018.000000000000 | 1.064357115146933 | 1.177257279186332 | 1.300235844871304 |
| 2019.000000000000 | 1.081321736737715 | 1.202910643228808 | 1.336964835173345 |
| 2020.000000000000 | 1.100338789488446 | 1.229934511291803 | 1.377739358872148 |
| 2021.000000000000 | 1.119937782242221 | 1.255799225135755 | 1.412803966933381 |
| 2022.000000000000 | 1.138716512481406 | 1.281325570401344 | 1.447621289126446 |
| 2023.000000000000 | 1.154824296961826 | 1.306667293213803 | 1.481779292113480 |
| 2024.000000000000 | 1.171267595654264 | 1.332846258276053 | 1.515087607265530 |
| 2025.000000000000 | 1.183635069575731 | 1.357636731600403 | 1.548510258018096 |
| 2026.000000000000 | 1.201553500518716 | 1.381202411243138 | 1.581507169502703 |
| 2027.000000000000 | 1.219137705763506 | 1.405550502516968 | 1.615513408180928 |
| 2028.000000000000 | 1.237643951975757 | 1.432808940708781 | 1.649756037744748 |
| 2029.000000000000 | 1.256396785535068 | 1.458037593503638 | 1.684459967021320 |
| 2030.000000000000 | 1.274936568271051 | 1.482942755762270 | 1.719285453897807 |
| 2031.000000000000 | 1.292468584707412 | 1.506218010741999 | 1.753360468622823 |
| 2032.000000000000 | 1.308623294101188 | 1.529446014101711 | 1.785807755600006 |
| 2033.000000000000 | 1.324961657783553 | 1.551432290978890 | 1.819314982323102 |
| 2034.000000000000 | 1.342530448089616 | 1.572800123062760 | 1.852066717813797 |
| 2035.000000000000 | 1.359069944538490 | 1.594112393233473 | 1.883886441373794 |
| 2036.000000000000 | 1.375798721833882 | 1.617129302052716 | 1.915774851605658 |
| 2037.000000000000 | 1.392802574335380 | 1.640932093307593 | 1.947663860125229 |
| 2038.000000000000 | 1.411512043538506 | 1.665194436449729 | 1.981725927171893 |
| 2039.000000000000 | 1.430457863527148 | 1.689145254915772 | 2.015682911162007 |
| 2040.000000000000 | 1.447977301937588 | 1.712334759468767 | 2.048896824633195 |
| 2041.000000000000 | 1.464779510570541 | 1.736928985891696 | 2.083229703021045 |
| 2042.000000000000 | 1.482958172105699 | 1.761675215485853 | 2.117549809711891 |
| 2043.000000000000 | 1.501285494546965 | 1.786704845768131 | 2.151695108973837 |
| 2044.000000000000 | 1.518787094719242 | 1.809090932484144 | 2.186173353111513 |
| 2045.000000000000 | 1.535671297561093 | 1.830748445375887 | 2.226299123668887 |
| 2046.000000000000 | 1.551353970019864 | 1.854509374921051 | 2.258704353254239 |
| 2047.000000000000 | 1.566968531338836 | 1.879956885551003 | 2.293169330986506 |
| 2048.000000000000 | 1.583189501940827 | 1.901738632855262 | 2.328049804452505 |
| 2049.000000000000 | 1.597920268376517 | 1.922370183236501 | 2.359299245443345 |
| 2050.000000000000 | 1.613801546322585 | 1.945773952960029 | 2.400274990804041 |
| 2051.000000000000 | 1.630250556770416 | 1.973295137181203 | 2.423388203048785 |
| 2052.000000000000 | 1.647301767478667 | 1.994489480628724 | 2.461921457303672 |
| 2053.000000000000 | 1.661258232273453 | 2.017039307240727 | 2.494223806439130 |
| 2054.000000000000 | 1.675918117940904 | 2.038640485367845 | 2.524524755939417 |
| 2055.000000000000 | 1.690577164761637 | 2.061187218890431 | 2.545671127787888 |
| 2056.000000000000 | 1.703619849040057 | 2.083904415251910 | 2.576943513780297 |
| 2057.000000000000 | 1.717177834944992 | 2.104357818026344 | 2.606077760399856 |
| 2058.000000000000 | 1.730962089990991 | 2.124835498843853 | 2.633794612105778 |
| 2059.000000000000 | 1.743458393353137 | 2.145506849961031 | 2.662063183471143 |
| 2060.000000000000 | 1.758285298623466 | 2.165121682983608 | 2.699825595115479 |
| 2061.000000000000 | 1.773046520911895 | 2.186229470745906 | 2.728224836907218 |
| 2062.000000000000 | 1.785509831347526 | 2.205377039197232 | 2.765178908370747 |
| 2063.000000000000 | 1.799375500130000 | 2.225378859349763 | 2.792999655781339 |
| 2064.000000000000 | 1.814209078734776 | 2.245274116522965 | 2.819375595769235 |
| 2065.000000000000 | 1.827924401037371 | 2.263407089726816 | 2.846629969271956 |
| 2066.000000000000 | 1.840756963658778 | 2.281256409859877 | 2.871768497458369 |
| 2067.000000000000 | 1.854123418373639 | 2.298366148618806 | 2.897578101996441 |
| 2068.000000000000 | 1.867429464065500 | 2.316237794366196 | 2.921361727790963 |
| 2069.000000000000 | 1.879681028643527 | 2.333860646961639 | 2.945109756968359 |
| 2070.000000000000 | 1.890761741236680 | 2.349677231980654 | 2.968366922742272 |
| 2071.000000000000 | 1.901598856647638 | 2.365764146647241 | 3.000346851212024 |
| 2072.000000000000 | 1.914047230726197 | 2.385652581523845 | 3.024821906792845 |
| 2073.000000000000 | 1.926265692963141 | 2.400872440914906 | 3.047696385774695 |
| 2074.000000000000 | 1.937030967599739 | 2.420856025464448 | 3.072036799305653 |
| 2075.000000000000 | 1.947886629700426 | 2.436986627793978 | 3.095418606614993 |
| 2076.000000000000 | 1.959221779585036 | 2.449282569916706 | 3.118471458815042 |
| 2077.000000000000 | 1.970828215305596 | 2.469227024986556 | 3.142116962817691 |
| 2078.000000000000 | 1.981238540654623 | 2.484956600773621 | 3.165511963597964 |
| 2079.000000000000 | 1.990776585611687 | 2.498688922186961 | 3.186745369482967 |
| 2080.000000000000 | 1.999453727856842 | 2.512986405915874 | 3.207514772846567 |
| 2081.000000000000 | 2.008041730579369 | 2.527228874071578 | 3.228755901772369 |
| 2082.000000000000 | 2.017824317078491 | 2.542410977822211 | 3.250691704655104 |
| 2083.000000000000 | 2.025909161838232 | 2.557049642119110 | 3.272186146528787 |
| 2084.000000000000 | 2.033985478702412 | 2.571728182087239 | 3.292892258121448 |
| 2085.000000000000 | 2.044171133557958 | 2.586203366835649 | 3.312704514954170 |
| 2086.000000000000 | 2.054352756165188 | 2.600524191055035 | 3.334216546816493 |
| 2087.000000000000 | 2.062797687969300 | 2.614442536955130 | 3.355945505650742 |
| 2088.000000000000 | 2.070566442724850 | 2.627413769063695 | 3.376209412249879 |
| 2089.000000000000 | 2.078155205109254 | 2.638886883053936 | 3.396525164481891 |
| 2090.000000000000 | 2.085345749485891 | 2.650091970257829 | 3.415727346740452 |
| 2091.000000000000 | 2.093935020295826 | 2.664827267419061 | 3.435020169946073 |
| 2092.000000000000 | 2.100788431225030 | 2.675315456997634 | 3.453625845798858 |
| 2093.000000000000 | 2.107396097311242 | 2.686949805610418 | 3.471900048231816 |
| 2094.000000000000 | 2.114528169856752 | 2.698345706932050 | 3.487837780475231 |
| 2095.000000000000 | 2.121174476384338 | 2.709810211549113 | 3.504371380569069 |
| 2096.000000000000 | 2.126581449670941 | 2.721366588884118 | 3.520521903405434 |
| 2097.000000000000 | 2.132023202616776 | 2.730280536642366 | 3.536065590555114 |
| 2098.000000000000 | 2.138235772581498 | 2.739833944639895 | 3.550991276932196 |
| 2099.000000000000 | 2.144144373483601 | 2.748133705341387 | 3.565740716869523 |
SSP1_2_6:
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
2065
2075
2085
2095
| 2015.000000000000 | 1.010285967774758 | 1.099247547477238 | 1.196468787211483 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.000000000000 | 1.027753754711779 | 1.124936488752985 | 1.232380706085614 |
| 2017.000000000000 | 1.045768498432458 | 1.151127280611031 | 1.267276552476122 |
| 2018.000000000000 | 1.063368498105674 | 1.176866571917163 | 1.302330444132838 |
| 2019.000000000000 | 1.081300896354874 | 1.202266409356340 | 1.340350750624485 |
| 2020.000000000000 | 1.098654539785213 | 1.228768373007366 | 1.378903226607599 |
| 2021.000000000000 | 1.114052096759987 | 1.254123596395378 | 1.414332500609374 |
| 2022.000000000000 | 1.130232140427451 | 1.278778936706126 | 1.449860415203566 |
| 2023.000000000000 | 1.146167254061598 | 1.301780680427943 | 1.484397475914503 |
| 2024.000000000000 | 1.161122394217163 | 1.325222231966173 | 1.521392977191734 |
| 2025.000000000000 | 1.175604574476995 | 1.350618531064992 | 1.552925162305321 |
| 2026.000000000000 | 1.189768229429188 | 1.372619163208597 | 1.585592683944005 |
| 2027.000000000000 | 1.204514327446887 | 1.395754585027414 | 1.614728988672812 |
| 2028.000000000000 | 1.218856351014031 | 1.417280592175695 | 1.645861947083725 |
| 2029.000000000000 | 1.232814777127772 | 1.439774723556736 | 1.678248808934593 |
| 2030.000000000000 | 1.246874652623126 | 1.460753546223640 | 1.708361560103295 |
| 2031.000000000000 | 1.259753185410536 | 1.480469949857439 | 1.737507884577618 |
| 2032.000000000000 | 1.270556296118229 | 1.499200187983340 | 1.765484912339368 |
| 2033.000000000000 | 1.281696377240185 | 1.517611006752081 | 1.792770565340573 |
| 2034.000000000000 | 1.291473976248474 | 1.534261346711688 | 1.820492619007286 |
| 2035.000000000000 | 1.299266307520687 | 1.549817927987848 | 1.843521653239898 |
| 2036.000000000000 | 1.307635271082290 | 1.565240879938803 | 1.867629645131355 |
| 2037.000000000000 | 1.315347228111829 | 1.579491811560220 | 1.893450366441964 |
| 2038.000000000000 | 1.323293168817735 | 1.594629591979877 | 1.917318028763874 |
| 2039.000000000000 | 1.331534995524952 | 1.609538328946998 | 1.940528662945321 |
| 2040.000000000000 | 1.339642934842982 | 1.622439625103694 | 1.962036039852820 |
| 2041.000000000000 | 1.346727777709477 | 1.635165952080778 | 1.983618275380664 |
| 2042.000000000000 | 1.354334544084240 | 1.647946032549904 | 2.006871617099630 |
| 2043.000000000000 | 1.359253626710285 | 1.660422853861697 | 2.029218992646163 |
| 2044.000000000000 | 1.364642584769328 | 1.669689911267048 | 2.049021984932874 |
| 2045.000000000000 | 1.370174478217329 | 1.679842347156302 | 2.067024313370522 |
| 2046.000000000000 | 1.375088308876302 | 1.690823895480779 | 2.082946783003566 |
| 2047.000000000000 | 1.378215358878151 | 1.700404272460811 | 2.112893037214537 |
| 2048.000000000000 | 1.381058223241025 | 1.708019939207600 | 2.128091856838610 |
| 2049.000000000000 | 1.384713231056415 | 1.716008714023579 | 2.142829160381956 |
| 2050.000000000000 | 1.385745589833195 | 1.723816298541179 | 2.156089668421872 |
| 2051.000000000000 | 1.387556832138353 | 1.732702154789580 | 2.169123281379658 |
| 2052.000000000000 | 1.391785542769933 | 1.740365356126901 | 2.181836054725057 |
| 2053.000000000000 | 1.394137456632984 | 1.747410789332575 | 2.193510972893864 |
| 2054.000000000000 | 1.395253781119257 | 1.754036511707356 | 2.204807216232320 |
| 2055.000000000000 | 1.397690538587464 | 1.760044208879562 | 2.215678753582742 |
| 2056.000000000000 | 1.398037165187365 | 1.765643665303060 | 2.225334819749977 |
| 2057.000000000000 | 1.398942501964867 | 1.770448395184294 | 2.233615484769374 |
| 2058.000000000000 | 1.401268375470326 | 1.774362385331122 | 2.242317216702171 |
| 2059.000000000000 | 1.402425400320959 | 1.778051518656833 | 2.250150495544756 |
| 2060.000000000000 | 1.403041650386326 | 1.782696196832563 | 2.257247588568060 |
| 2061.000000000000 | 1.405418734387228 | 1.785852729610676 | 2.263809255413188 |
| 2062.000000000000 | 1.406355635398155 | 1.787993181462467 | 2.269791712902330 |
| 2063.000000000000 | 1.408127055833249 | 1.791742063615704 | 2.274116523463665 |
| 2064.000000000000 | 1.410168981864009 | 1.794761576753017 | 2.279494194574917 |
| 2065.000000000000 | 1.411076301432368 | 1.797476504564222 | 2.285248935435455 |
| 2066.000000000000 | 1.410641731865046 | 1.798835813291115 | 2.289981305811952 |
| 2067.000000000000 | 1.410876824470013 | 1.798589210699402 | 2.293074105742043 |
| 2068.000000000000 | 1.410725848341345 | 1.799042172604930 | 2.296298540896299 |
| 2069.000000000000 | 1.409967255576727 | 1.801170644543945 | 2.299917709164867 |
| 2070.000000000000 | 1.409463629662435 | 1.800509257194062 | 2.303786568050519 |
| 2071.000000000000 | 1.409144936028420 | 1.800176143187666 | 2.307275670902396 |
| 2072.000000000000 | 1.408099531978032 | 1.800643782234286 | 2.310121047838525 |
| 2073.000000000000 | 1.406717030312515 | 1.799682314148123 | 2.313491727963914 |
| 2074.000000000000 | 1.407026848722258 | 1.799241900677838 | 2.316333283422913 |
| 2075.000000000000 | 1.406321877010434 | 1.798608142345801 | 2.319976901007807 |
| 2076.000000000000 | 1.407041580330080 | 1.797969429189593 | 2.322319707635717 |
| 2077.000000000000 | 1.406602207009572 | 1.796334255951723 | 2.323878021055125 |
| 2078.000000000000 | 1.403537741154853 | 1.793544318509561 | 2.324984202085880 |
| 2079.000000000000 | 1.400259220900450 | 1.792229004266146 | 2.326365614857457 |
| 2080.000000000000 | 1.398355881502750 | 1.788891937784697 | 2.326129071817110 |
| 2081.000000000000 | 1.393610725629031 | 1.786833310705518 | 2.327203686906247 |
| 2082.000000000000 | 1.391900192186420 | 1.783811908684151 | 2.327554774386524 |
| 2083.000000000000 | 1.388847843520239 | 1.780553456859309 | 2.328883639620316 |
| 2084.000000000000 | 1.383839488382185 | 1.777842172579758 | 2.329567221292591 |
| 2085.000000000000 | 1.381853770216953 | 1.774576942397309 | 2.330611199061314 |
| 2086.000000000000 | 1.378968541637301 | 1.772189481602817 | 2.331366761842956 |
| 2087.000000000000 | 1.374163060368179 | 1.769013637213726 | 2.332965732845827 |
| 2088.000000000000 | 1.368898956217247 | 1.764498228313062 | 2.332888420531525 |
| 2089.000000000000 | 1.364901994617994 | 1.760809845225841 | 2.332466457442671 |
| 2090.000000000000 | 1.360256627395672 | 1.758729909026215 | 2.331471246822895 |
| 2091.000000000000 | 1.356950756895669 | 1.754315959794124 | 2.332649129806417 |
| 2092.000000000000 | 1.352560162192807 | 1.749871218244303 | 2.332515100366573 |
| 2093.000000000000 | 1.348302326392931 | 1.746275025118732 | 2.332138775696601 |
| 2094.000000000000 | 1.342932863215633 | 1.742477455193474 | 2.331450735368425 |
| 2095.000000000000 | 1.338564519109234 | 1.738994000067420 | 2.330311127104653 |
| 2096.000000000000 | 1.333901172743176 | 1.734824557628063 | 2.329500644865277 |
| 2097.000000000000 | 1.328776290290255 | 1.731581063903972 | 2.328148477429111 |
| 2098.000000000000 | 1.324557218774112 | 1.727422951833381 | 2.326610443974896 |
| 2099.000000000000 | 1.319652130358085 | 1.723633029300621 | 2.324612979548522 |
SSP1_1_9:
2015
2025
2035
2045
2055
2065
2075
2085
2095
| 2015.000000000000 | 1.015464593576633 | 1.098806697217511 | 1.187128662151762 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.000000000000 | 1.032164094461693 | 1.123233684104443 | 1.219921901598277 |
| 2017.000000000000 | 1.049922470137109 | 1.148855749150225 | 1.253968339367110 |
| 2018.000000000000 | 1.068048494749986 | 1.175204809928973 | 1.289161376362709 |
| 2019.000000000000 | 1.084378535333585 | 1.200603567039872 | 1.324116437446857 |
| 2020.000000000000 | 1.099381120151216 | 1.225472443290541 | 1.359480014065763 |
| 2021.000000000000 | 1.116316396933119 | 1.251715812538949 | 1.395545562304503 |
| 2022.000000000000 | 1.131426639060884 | 1.276959015141280 | 1.431435216765168 |
| 2023.000000000000 | 1.143703642286295 | 1.300042351113897 | 1.466095904696037 |
| 2024.000000000000 | 1.155780873870311 | 1.321454670604185 | 1.497793007499449 |
| 2025.000000000000 | 1.167700256715394 | 1.343829073908499 | 1.531443562980670 |
| 2026.000000000000 | 1.182071659218527 | 1.366752731560742 | 1.563874517589058 |
| 2027.000000000000 | 1.195750001963533 | 1.388259637948981 | 1.594148766090089 |
| 2028.000000000000 | 1.206357913491507 | 1.407256661867743 | 1.622647884602263 |
| 2029.000000000000 | 1.217020392917817 | 1.426049766202361 | 1.650491691322245 |
| 2030.000000000000 | 1.228010671771600 | 1.443502648326180 | 1.675340717151884 |
| 2031.000000000000 | 1.234975854792554 | 1.459082550325048 | 1.700707143878416 |
| 2032.000000000000 | 1.241240694353395 | 1.474052991643572 | 1.725904055097354 |
| 2033.000000000000 | 1.247567864958888 | 1.487861154237756 | 1.748101469708499 |
| 2034.000000000000 | 1.252629550616456 | 1.499359368090090 | 1.767090988379766 |
| 2035.000000000000 | 1.256775085406528 | 1.510067059991037 | 1.786170264610801 |
| 2036.000000000000 | 1.260589190860015 | 1.520046170464525 | 1.803607483863885 |
| 2037.000000000000 | 1.263875026927821 | 1.528241086568610 | 1.818156489737513 |
| 2038.000000000000 | 1.265462329368042 | 1.535336003976834 | 1.831783308781982 |
| 2039.000000000000 | 1.268507447185973 | 1.543069379903648 | 1.845647126979950 |
| 2040.000000000000 | 1.270907329270043 | 1.549635038537787 | 1.857401273375314 |
| 2041.000000000000 | 1.271823515550348 | 1.554121449724712 | 1.867063288666071 |
| 2042.000000000000 | 1.273603829192245 | 1.558734535345618 | 1.875360869013015 |
| 2043.000000000000 | 1.275930824143495 | 1.562800423687018 | 1.882665436412663 |
| 2044.000000000000 | 1.276253414718422 | 1.566356880654194 | 1.890744599537217 |
| 2045.000000000000 | 1.274597568824450 | 1.568121078904943 | 1.896798549750875 |
| 2046.000000000000 | 1.270629052873530 | 1.567168399053921 | 1.900476847404730 |
| 2047.000000000000 | 1.265763207983002 | 1.567000395509804 | 1.905980032097287 |
| 2048.000000000000 | 1.262351690390835 | 1.566768571625803 | 1.910409223869712 |
| 2049.000000000000 | 1.259214937388564 | 1.566172001353058 | 1.912853668596730 |
| 2050.000000000000 | 1.256735313405531 | 1.565447871078812 | 1.915745129017758 |
| 2051.000000000000 | 1.253047772494008 | 1.564642917130066 | 1.918877277221836 |
| 2052.000000000000 | 1.250034245695083 | 1.562828892239138 | 1.919199538994891 |
| 2053.000000000000 | 1.246170714042650 | 1.561234665153267 | 1.920868475066290 |
| 2054.000000000000 | 1.242980938648455 | 1.559963112786047 | 1.922369929072467 |
| 2055.000000000000 | 1.238873750996531 | 1.557207221708618 | 1.921647934301504 |
| 2056.000000000000 | 1.232554112165193 | 1.553330978801763 | 1.920791334107797 |
| 2057.000000000000 | 1.227018489716921 | 1.549829540482681 | 1.920842844233112 |
| 2058.000000000000 | 1.222183130691652 | 1.547309302377801 | 1.921430927315295 |
| 2059.000000000000 | 1.216978398129228 | 1.543649204371380 | 1.920122108824715 |
| 2060.000000000000 | 1.212213162519471 | 1.540005435922796 | 1.918086552927445 |
| 2061.000000000000 | 1.207527979529126 | 1.536628469600529 | 1.917334394953578 |
| 2062.000000000000 | 1.202415927844919 | 1.533170727810983 | 1.916515344688741 |
| 2063.000000000000 | 1.196397936571168 | 1.529034932796915 | 1.914450360569546 |
| 2064.000000000000 | 1.191742153462270 | 1.524952988347938 | 1.911503174685608 |
| 2065.000000000000 | 1.186890878731974 | 1.520569432432358 | 1.908890885557966 |
| 2066.000000000000 | 1.183505684019768 | 1.517917250686817 | 1.907473217588286 |
| 2067.000000000000 | 1.181340115467006 | 1.514436812268567 | 1.903440469618981 |
| 2068.000000000000 | 1.177199255183641 | 1.510551237083714 | 1.900505832139421 |
| 2069.000000000000 | 1.171648234389898 | 1.506502878931574 | 1.898528915686259 |
| 2070.000000000000 | 1.166891474853180 | 1.502784565338527 | 1.896324092551344 |
| 2071.000000000000 | 1.165372742498845 | 1.499301826450536 | 1.892040727865409 |
| 2072.000000000000 | 1.162020675629913 | 1.495573129775715 | 1.889017839144943 |
| 2073.000000000000 | 1.158920127546667 | 1.492243106092815 | 1.885799073557328 |
| 2074.000000000000 | 1.155584091202718 | 1.489024857155970 | 1.883054807344312 |
| 2075.000000000000 | 1.153372256472816 | 1.486705665905141 | 1.881010707719645 |
| 2076.000000000000 | 1.150438480376203 | 1.483224809045645 | 1.878038873855803 |
| 2077.000000000000 | 1.146358958185685 | 1.479470223218629 | 1.875433310216809 |
| 2078.000000000000 | 1.142783734568566 | 1.474762246330440 | 1.869705067161753 |
| 2079.000000000000 | 1.139108606040096 | 1.469025302512702 | 1.862536122145115 |
| 2080.000000000000 | 1.135514601894683 | 1.463558931880244 | 1.856716228348872 |
| 2081.000000000000 | 1.132788013214874 | 1.459295510817444 | 1.851606595430690 |
| 2082.000000000000 | 1.129081172801163 | 1.455213333730123 | 1.847349070341697 |
| 2083.000000000000 | 1.125923458619251 | 1.451042727746928 | 1.842422596321459 |
| 2084.000000000000 | 1.122325393511415 | 1.446572669942864 | 1.837981079093768 |
| 2085.000000000000 | 1.120064282770148 | 1.443611109059757 | 1.834984587881900 |
| 2086.000000000000 | 1.115473732659401 | 1.439094809394599 | 1.831303040165551 |
| 2087.000000000000 | 1.109808487043908 | 1.434457524937491 | 1.827549215774739 |
| 2088.000000000000 | 1.106180966511867 | 1.429551555946138 | 1.822303125199832 |
| 2089.000000000000 | 1.101440050966064 | 1.423897609787855 | 1.816791777604031 |
| 2090.000000000000 | 1.095231465843022 | 1.417880784496305 | 1.811103422718322 |
| 2091.000000000000 | 1.092253861150815 | 1.414310347062963 | 1.807548505178263 |
| 2092.000000000000 | 1.089385557856835 | 1.410984268695928 | 1.803013211800962 |
| 2093.000000000000 | 1.084497879397234 | 1.407192648899584 | 1.798769709640542 |
| 2094.000000000000 | 1.079756933855717 | 1.403343560286048 | 1.795293456858545 |
| 2095.000000000000 | 1.075387246351776 | 1.399595680140566 | 1.791378137302105 |
| 2096.000000000000 | 1.070570419169615 | 1.395931947400648 | 1.787640244824851 |
| 2097.000000000000 | 1.065702888572471 | 1.392230646405064 | 1.782751461583115 |
| 2098.000000000000 | 1.061259237737612 | 1.388402859745407 | 1.778048169009206 |
| 2099.000000000000 | 1.056232565261010 | 1.384914343407232 | 1.774195014927382 |
Legende für die Grafiken:
= 5%
= Mittelwert
= 95%
Rote 2° C-Linie: Unterhalb dieses Bereiches haben Großteile der Menschheit eine Überlebens-Chance
Orangene 1,5° C-Linie: Erstrebenswerter Beriech der nicht mehr erreichbar ist
Data sources: Fyfe, J.; Fox-Kemper, B.; Kopp, R.; Garner, G. (2021): Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.8 (v20210809). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, date of citation. doi:10.5285/98af2184e13e4b91893ab72f301790db. https://dx.doi.org/